Atalanta vs Lazio
Hosts have variable results lately. They have 3 wins and 2 losses in the last five games. Otherwise, they are currently 7th with 6-3-6 and with a goal difference of 29:20 so far. On the other hand, they have 3-1-3 at home. So, they are not a convincing team at home. Nevertheless, they will try to provide strong resistance. Also, they will try to make a difference in this match. In the last match, against Udinese they were better (1: 3) away. Prior to that, they had two defeats in the row. So, Zapata had a hat trick in the match against Udine.
So, they have 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last five h2h matches.
Otherwise, their key player is Zapata (5 goals). Of course, there are Gomez (4 goals), Hateboer (3 goals) and Mancini (3 goals).
On the other hand, visitors made 4 draws in a row in the last 4 games. In any case, they had in the last five matches BTTS-Yes. Atalanta, too.
In any case, visitors are a very experienced team. So, their coach Inzaghi does not want to defeat this match. Otherwise, they have 3-2-2 with a goal difference of 8: 8 on the road. Otherwise, their scorer Ciro Immobile (10 goals) is spiritually recovered for this match.
As things stand, this should be a draw. However, I avoid drawing. I expect that hosts have a chance in this game.
So, my offer in this match is: Home side (-0.25AH with Odds 1.86). I think this is acceptable.